Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.990316 2.282338 2.604875 2.987965 3.431139 3.928381 4.529541
2025-06-01 1.551136 1.943728 2.419469 3.040358 3.832225 4.812258 6.123192
2025-06-08 1.320579 1.757029 2.320250 3.104314 4.173986 5.591455 7.627399
2025-06-15 1.142748 1.595558 2.210327 3.112251 4.412441 6.235083 9.012257
2025-06-22 0.987184 1.435835 2.071803 3.047599 4.522463 6.692870 10.174112
2025-06-29 0.872031 1.315172 1.967887 3.010320 4.654311 7.181979 11.429557
2025-07-06 0.772203 1.203106 1.860059 2.947911 4.730937 7.583979 12.587166
2025-07-13 0.737614 1.186124 1.893272 3.106427 5.171521 8.608512 14.895862
2025-07-20 0.676166 1.118397 1.836886 3.109257 5.350220 9.214935 16.561267
2025-07-27 0.640043 1.087825 1.836732 3.204436 5.694514 10.140599 18.916214
2025-08-03 0.592904 1.033102 1.789157 3.209592 5.876054 10.792730 20.843022
2025-08-10 0.548765 0.978838 1.736240 3.197822 6.022314 11.392194 22.742135
2025-08-17 0.491391 0.899691 1.639158 3.109626 6.045569 11.823439 24.507355
2025-08-24 0.457921 0.861902 1.615578 3.162952 6.362002 12.894944 27.833510
2025-08-31 0.430053 0.831037 1.600606 3.229701 6.712413 14.083072 31.616875
2025-09-07 0.398772 0.789689 1.559995 3.237975 6.939698 15.041582 35.049094
2025-09-14 0.363325 0.735884 1.488088 3.170559 6.991950 15.621410 37.689477
2025-09-21 0.334599 0.692661 1.432862 3.131689 7.101615 16.345362 40.810818
2025-09-28 0.306647 0.648007 1.369593 3.066617 7.141037 16.909162 43.626728
2025-10-05 0.300396 0.649348 1.405339 3.231902 7.750810 18.942131 50.697256
2025-10-12 0.281892 0.621622 1.373753 3.234852 7.963224 20.016353 55.356654
2025-10-19 0.271888 0.611957 1.381791 3.334106 8.432367 21.823282 62.448664
2025-10-26 0.256267 0.587686 1.353378 3.339483 8.658722 23.021293 67.993280